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earlier this year with her upset victory in a Texas border district that sent shockwaves through the political world. If these results are mirrored elsewhere throughout the country and polling on Hispanic voters aban- doning Democrats for the GOP is accurate, Republicans could indeed be poised for major gains. In Arizona and Nevada, large Hispanic popula- tions could make the difference for Republicans Blake Masters and Adam Laxalt. In other border districts like Flores’s, Hispanic voter backlash over crime and drug smuggling as a result of Democrats’ open-borders policies could similarly make the difference. Does voter backlash against Joe Biden extend down ballot?
It’s no secret that Biden is historically unpopular with vast swaths of the electorate, even within his own party. Republicans have done their best to tie voter frustration with Biden to Democratic policies at every level of government. For the GOP to have a truly historic wave year, that messag- ing will have to hit home. Will Democrat messaging on student- loan forgiveness and abortion win over young voters? Young voters — who traditionally vote Democratic — typically see lower turn- out in midterm elections. This year, Democrats are hoping that backlash to the Dobbs Supreme Court decision and support for Biden’s student-loan
forgiveness may help them buck that trend. But both of those issues may also energize turnout among Republi- cans, in effect neutralizing any benefit for Democrats. As is the case every cycle, there will no doubt be some big surprises and unexpected developments on elec- tion night. But, should Republicans perform well in these few areas, they can be confident that they will deliver on the prophesied Red Wave. Shane Harris Shane Harris is a writer and political consul- tant from Southwest Ohio. You can follow him on Twitter @Shane_Harris_.
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