to have made gains on Republican Marco Rubio in the Sunshine State, most projections have Rubio hold- ing onto the seat. Things are a bit dicier in Wisconsin, where Ron John- son has consistently trailed Demo- cratic Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes in polls, but the race is still rated as a toss-up. Moreover, Johnson has pulled out victories before after being left for dead by the Republican establishment. In the North Carolina race to replace retiring GOP Senator Richard Burr, Republican Rep. Ted Budd has been neck-and-neck with former North Carolina Supreme Court Justice Cheri Beasley. In Ohio, Republican J.D.
Vance, hoping to replace the retiring Rob Portman, has held a slight edge over Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan. In Pennsylvania, reality TV star Dr. Mehmet Oz, vying to replace Repub- lican Pat Toomey, initially struggled in polling against Democratic Lieu- tenant Governor John Fetterman but now appears to be on more solid foot- ing heading into Election Day.
crat Raphael Warnock is facing off against Republican nominee Herschel Walker, a football legend, and Nevada, where former state Attorney General Adam Laxalt is challenging Democrat Catherine Cortez-Masto. Republicans also have reason to be hopeful in Arizona and New Hamp- shire. In Arizona, border issues have dragged down incumbent Mark Kelly in his reelection effort against GOP nominee Blake Masters. In New Hampshire, incumbent Maggie Hassan has faced a barrage of criti- cism over her support for a number of far-left Democrat policies, like their bid to do away with the Elec- toral College, but has been buoyed to
Key Senate Flips for Republicans
Even if Republicans can hold onto all of their seats, they will still need to flip at least one Democratic seat to take control of the Senate. The GOP’s two top targets are Georgia, where Demo-
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